When randomness is out the window, the probability underpinnings for predictions are gone.

One of the only pollsters to predict the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election somewhat correctly has stated that he ...

The Trump victory is quite widespread across the state, but it’s not very deep in percentage terms,” Franklin said ...

Allan Lichtman, the American University professor and election forecaster who accurately predicted nine of the last 10 ...

Trump has outperformed polling predictions in the last three elections. Here are one pollster's takeaways from 2024 election ...

Longtime Republican pollster Frank Luntz on Sunday argued that Kamala Harris did “too much defining” of President-elect ...

Indeed, Starr County, Texas, which is 97% Latino, went Republican for first time in 128 years, breaking the longest ...

Ann Selzer is "reviewing her data" to determine why her poll, which set off a multi-day media firestorm, inaccurately ...

An Iowa pollster is facing intense backlash on social media after Trump cruised to victory in the Hawkeye State despite the ...

After a poor performance in 2020, pre-election polls this year were largely accurate in depicting a tight race between Donald ...

Selzer, who accurately predicted Donald Trump's 2016 and 2020 Iowa wins, now has Harris three points ahead of him in the ...