The low-pressure area has a high chance of tropical development over the next few days, The system is working to form in the eastern Caribbean and is bringing a lot of rain to several islands, including Puerto Rico. November is typically a less active month due to it being the end of the hurricane season.

The National Hurricane Center says that the broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea over the next few days, adding that a tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend as the system drifts northward or northeastward over the southwestern and central Caribbean.

Caribbean disturbance expected to become Tropical Storm Rafael on Monday and Hurricane Rafael by Tuesday night.

Reasonable tracks for the end of the week range from west toward Mexico or Texas to north toward the Florida Panhandle.

A disturbance in the North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea could form over the southwester Caribbean Sea, The National Hurricane Center said.