Silver and FiveThirtyEight’s forecasts estimate the probability of either candidate winning, and are separate from polls, which estimate how much of the vote each candidate will get—but many ...
Polls are more reliable in swing states, especially in the Sun Belt. Want to know who will win the 2024 presidential election? Flip a coin. The race is very likely to come down to seven key swing ...
Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 - Election Day - millions more will join them. Their votes this year will matter ...
Despite pulling into the lead in two recent polls, Kari Lake still trails Ruben Gallego in polling averages and betting odds.
That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, ...
The presidency and House are toss-ups, and the GOP is likely to win the Senate. Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 — ...
ToplineThe swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is effectively tied, with ...
Former President Donald Trump is heading back to the White House after defeating Vice President Kamala Harris in Tuesday's ...